U.S. Sees More Immigrants Leaving Than Arriving for First Time in Decades

For the first time in at least 50 years, more people left the United States than entered, according to new estimates from economists at the Brookings Institution.

While arrests and deportations by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) have drawn public attention, the researchers say the main driver of the decline in immigration is a slowdown in new arrivals under President Donald Trump’s administration.

 Policies such as near-closure of the U.S.-Mexico border, stricter visa rules and fees, and the termination of many humanitarian programs — including for nearly all refugees — contributed significantly to the drop.
Deportations also played a role, with the Brookings economists estimating roughly 300,000 removals in 2025, notably lower than the just over 600,000 cited by the Trump administration.

Official government data on 2025 immigration levels will not be available until later this year and may lack precise information on how many people departed the country.

Looking ahead, the United States is on track to lose more immigrants than it gains in 2026, the researchers warn, a trend that could have long-term effects on population growth and the economy.

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